Forecasts for NZ greenback lifted

CBA / ASB forecasts and feedback on the NZD 

  • NZD/USD is seen at 0.6900 by the top of the 12 months
  • NZD/AUD to finish 2020 at 0.9325

For 2021:

  • NZD/USD isexpected to development step by step increased 
  • NZD/AUD to say no


  • ongoing resilience of the NZ economic system
  • not anticipating the RBNZ to chop the OCR into unfavourable territory
  • New Zealand phrases of commerce are aso anticipated to stay elevated at ranges near file highs


  • NZD trending increased because the latest brightening within the native and international backdrops are priced in
  • Forecasts and foreign money fashions don’t do notably effectively in periods the place currencies development, as they do generally tend to ‘overshoot’. For instance, our short-term valuation mannequin’s estimated ‘fair-value’ vary is presently 0.6400-0.6800, however we suspect fair-value will ultimately catch-up with the spot fee moderately than the opposite means round. 

NZD weekly candles:

CBA / ASB forecasts and comments on the NZD